If you only look at one number this quarter to read where live events spending is going, look at the used market. The signal is clear. Used pro AV prices in 2026 are holding firmer than in any year since 2019, the spread between new list and used clearing has compressed, and the gear moving fastest is the gear integrators and rental houses would normally have bought new. The secondary market is doing what it always does: telling the truth about demand before manufacturers will.
That matters because new gear sales numbers are a lagging indicator. Quote-to-cash on a console or fixture line runs three to six months, and headline numbers are smoothed by deferred shipments and channel inventory. Used clears in days. When buyers willingly pay more for a serviced unit than they were paying twelve months earlier, that is a real-time read on what shops need and cannot wait to get.
Three things are happening at once. First, the gap between new list and used clearing has compressed across most major fixture and console categories. Inventory that was clearing at thirty to forty percent of new in 2024 is closer to forty-five to fifty-five percent of new this year, particularly for current-generation line arrays, moving lights, and digital consoles with active software support. Second, sale-to-listing time has shortened. Buyers are not negotiating as hard because the alternative is a longer lead time on new at a higher base price. Third, the regional mix has changed.
Two macro forces are pushing this. New gear list prices have moved structurally higher as manufacturers fold tariff surcharges into base pricing, a shift Commercial Integrator documented this spring. And the rental sector continues to grow, with AVIXA's 2026 outlook projecting global pro AV revenue rising from $332 billion in 2025 to $402 billion by 2030, keeping a steady floor under demand for serviced secondhand inventory.
Not all used gear behaves the same way. The categories holding firmest tend to share three properties: current manufacturer software support, parts availability, and broad multi-purpose use in the live events sector. The categories slipping share the opposite. A short tour through what we see clearing:
This is the interesting read. Strong used prices are not necessarily a bearish signal for new gear. They are a signal that the buyer pool would have preferred to buy new and is settling for serviced used because of price or lead time. That is different from the buyer pool deciding they do not want new gear at all. The shops still want it. They are deferring the new-gear capex by one cycle and bridging the gap with used.
If new gear pricing eases over the next two quarters, expect used premiums to compress quickly. If new pricing holds at the current floor, expect this used strength to be the new normal for at least another twelve months.
Cross-rental and the used market are two answers to the same question. Both are about access without ownership at the moment ownership is most expensive. The rental sector has spent the last year moving from one-off sub-rental relationships to a structural ecosystem of cross-rental partners, a shift the live event equipment rental market analysis tracks closely as a 2026 inflection point. The shops using both tools well are the ones that hold the cleanest balance sheets through this cycle.
A few practical things. None of them are exotic. They are the disciplines that separate operators who use the secondary market as a strategic tool from operators who use it as a last resort.
We sit in front of more of this data than almost anyone, and the read is consistent across regions. Demand for serviced, current-spec used inventory is the strongest it has been in over twenty-four months. Sellers are getting paid more, faster. Buyers are paying more, with less negotiation. The market is functioning. It is just functioning at a different price floor than it was two years ago.
The shops getting hurt right now are the ones still operating on a 2023 mental model of what used should cost. The shops winning right now are the ones who recognized in 2024 that the secondary market would become a strategic supply channel, not a discount channel, and built their sourcing accordingly.
If you are buying used in 2026, start at gearsource.com and filter for software support status before anything else. The rest of the diligence is the same as it has always been. The price floor is new. The discipline is old.
New gear list pricing has moved structurally higher as manufacturers fold tariff surcharges into base pricing, and lead times on new gear remain longer than buyers prefer. Both push buyers toward serviced used inventory at higher clearing prices. The same forces reduce the negotiation room sellers historically gave on used, narrowing the spread between asking and final price.
Older non-network gear, anything without a current software path, and older media servers with non-upgradeable memory are slipping fastest. Buyers will pay near-new prices for serviced current-generation units and walk on anything unlikely to be supported through the next two seasons. The gap inside a single product family is widening.
Quote both in parallel and let the spread decide. For current-generation line arrays, consoles with active software support, and LED moving lights with current optics, used is consistently the better value right now. Where new lead time is short and used premiums are unusually high, new still wins. The discipline is the comparison, not the assumption.
Used clears in days while new sales lag three to six months. When buyers willingly pay higher used prices for current-generation gear, that signals new demand is firm but constrained by price or lead time. Strong used markets in 2026 indicate deferred new-gear demand, not weak demand. The signal is bullish for new gear sales once pricing stabilizes.
Service history first. Then current firmware version, hours where measurable, original purchase date, transfer eligibility of manufacturer support, and physical inspection notes. Clean documented units clear at a four to eight percent premium over identical units without records, and the premium is worth paying. An unsupported surprise in a rental fleet costs far more than the documentation premium.
By Marcel Fairbairn, founder of GearSource. 24 years buying, selling, and brokering pro-AV gear globally.